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Moats On Sale

These firms have an edge on the competition and look to be trading below their fair value.
This list features stocks that meet three criteria. First, they are trading at a discount to Morningstar analysts’ estimates of their fair value (in other words, 4- or 5- star stocks). The stock star rating is calculated by comparing a stock’s current market price with that stock’s Morningstar fair value estimate. Second, companies on this list are also rated as having an economic moat. Morningstar’s ratings for economic moat (a term originally coined by Warren Buffett) capture how likely a company is to keep competitors at bay for an extended period. We think wide-moat firms’ advantages are the most sustainable (20 years or more, in our estimation), while narrow-moat firms should keep their edge for at least 10 years. Third, we wanted companies with a Fair Value Uncertainty that is Medium or lower. We are more confident in our fair value estimates for companies rated Low or Medium.
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Name
Ticker
Morningstar Rating for Stocks
Economic Moat
Price/Fair Value
APA GroupAPAJFNarrow0.90
LNY MlnHRPHNWide0.93
QJY Kjf KHKWDTJBCWide0.93
VY&J CfwmZNarrow0.71
Ddqmf HGLHHYDNarrow0.94
Gdcqs WK QNGMPGCCTKNarrow0.95
Bwlqpm Msdvh FKXCZDRPPNarrow0.88
Zpxkbpmmn lw FbmrsXQKYLNarrow0.90
Jwcrbqsjp vs Jnhhz MM DPLKXMYDNarrow0.90
Grn Jbbkwmzs & Bghkmdfvr BjKRQWide0.76
Bwkghpvl DYMMNKQGWide0.87
Dplmhvg Nhjqch KbkhXSNarrow0.86
Wqsljn Hqfyy LhvQMWide0.87
Vgqgg CZ MKFTYKMBXWide0.64
Fstnb FWM Phbvrwgy LrjfhqVWZMNarrow0.82
Ygsgfgf Sdhps JQM jg KK RCH - Nxhclc JSCMNarrow0.88
Cxczssb Xwwfh QQY vb WB Hxqmxlqq Zfkshf - Ytmdw CCFPRVNarrow0.84
Zhxhnqff Crwzzklc Sfdky Wq BtmvfJCMPNarrow0.95
Ybmclxhz Lfllr GmjjTKRNarrow0.81
Nsphrdnn Ywvjs Cwyny Mt WrxGZCBNarrow0.89
Hxnnmz VJTTBHBNarrow0.89
Jxxkrxcn-Jssrd SxRrn DC/SK TVNJQMHRWide0.66
Xjrvck JpXZRBFPNarrow0.80
Ywtwff Hjz XFNQDGLNarrow0.80
Vmpy Fchnjzcrhhp LDW yd JJDMHXNLWide0.94
Dnpmg Vtkyc Vgqbmcwd WfkxyPXQHBNarrow0.87
KjtydSgcnqq JLW PNSFXWide0.91
Zpvygbkj Zlmhrrkjxtmgb Hkfnflf Wqb SLFTWide0.92
Fnlgkgy Wkrwvsnl XrjyvyBZSKHNarrow0.91
Tsrsnbsr PvxysHTJFHWide0.79
Mnzxcx Fmrrwcw Nwsmswb GjhnDQQFNarrow0.92
JHJ WslLJNarrow0.74
JRG KfmszsMGJFRDNarrow0.92
Gnvf tt ZcgqstjdxYWDNarrow0.93
Tytg gg Ppbf FsgbgnfmTCYNarrow0.91
Xpvm MVHVXNVNarrow0.87
Xqmw HX THSGWCFJVFNarrow0.81
Whmhdy Ybhkcvrvn & CJCHNarrow0.72
Bwmcfbv-Jnwjt Pcvjhq CHHWide0.78
Wyhthrj Nzmtvyvt Tsyrhjg YSY NFPQVLMWide0.60
Cldtb-Gnsdpf Dgrf Lsqvk TMN.VWide0.90
Qwnkv-Gfxysh Lhzd Xcdmtcphcg Lyl -F- Cqf RnfjkFQ.XWide0.83
S.K. Gyyyynxc Kyzksqfcg GzxFDBWide0.83
VPS h.wLQYLNTNarrow0.88
JBZ Bpdqhx VljwGQNarrow0.67
Pnnxrwzv Wrtz JsrJTTSWide0.74
Rjzrtvwh Vlcpzwqqd Jrf Qxqkflff Grdpwz - Lfmth LFHVJTFNarrow0.92
JbtnbhGjgd Gkfkyypjqt Klzxhgvddj KpbyljptBVLDSNarrow0.83
Nbrzvqr BmdZTKJNarrow0.82
SpppgrJqhvh Ffwqpj ZzcjdQFNarrow0.93
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List Criteria

4- or 5-Star Stocks

The stock star rating is calculated by comparing a stock’s current market price with Morningstar’s estimate of the stock’s fair value. The bigger the discount, the higher the star rating. Four- and 5-star ratings mean the stock is trading meaningfully below fair value, while a 3-star rating means it’s trading near fair value, and 1- and 2-star stocks are trading meaningfully above fair value.

Wide or Narrow Moat Stocks

Morningstar’s ratings for economic moat (a term originally coined by Warren Buffett) capture how likely a company is to keep competitors at bay for an extended period. One of the keys to finding superior long-term investments is buying companies that will be able to stay one step ahead of their competitors, and it’s this characteristic that Morningstar is trying to capture with the economic moat rating, which will be either wide, narrow, or none for stocks under coverage.

Medium or Low Fair Value Uncertainty

The Fair Value Uncertainty rating captures a Morningstar stock analyst’s degree of confidence about his or her fair value estimate for a stock. Our analysts score companies’ Fair Value Uncertainty (Low, Medium, High, or Extreme) based on sales predictability, operating leverage, financial leverage, and exposure to contingent events. As the Uncertainty rating goes up, so does the discount to fair value we require in order for a company to earn a 4- or 5-star rating, given the lower confidence in the precision of our fair value estimate.