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Moats On Sale

These firms have an edge on the competition and look to be trading below their fair value.
This list features stocks that meet three criteria. First, they are trading at a discount to Morningstar analysts’ estimates of their fair value (in other words, 4- or 5- star stocks). The stock star rating is calculated by comparing a stock’s current market price with that stock’s Morningstar fair value estimate. Second, companies on this list are also rated as having an economic moat. Morningstar’s ratings for economic moat (a term originally coined by Warren Buffett) capture how likely a company is to keep competitors at bay for an extended period. We think wide-moat firms’ advantages are the most sustainable (20 years or more, in our estimation), while narrow-moat firms should keep their edge for at least 10 years. Third, we wanted companies with a Fair Value Uncertainty that is Medium or lower. We are more confident in our fair value estimates for companies rated Low or Medium.
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Name
Ticker
Morningstar Rating for Stocks
Economic Moat
Price/Fair Value
APA GroupAPAJFNarrow0.93
SGT XdyVYVHGWide0.94
YTW Qjf BGLTWJGKNWide0.94
FN&Q FqZNarrow0.75
Zgsffjhl YXJVCCZNarrow0.92
Mbb Zlkptbzy & Dcltkphwl DWMDPWide0.83
Xbdqlfzv YPXRTJQFWide0.87
Wvrckvj Kywdhn XfyzgdHXMMNarrow0.89
Zjfvfq Rcznr PftvNJPWide0.92
Crpqm LD NZKRKPCWide0.64
Jwbnc FMMNDVVDMNarrow0.96
Nxsbg RQH Qrcxfcdz BbkzFPNTNarrow0.90
Zczjyqz Xyscn FHN wl RZ Mmjnxvfj Dwgmfp - Jhvsg VXZGXXGQNarrow0.89
Dryvpmps Hbsgt FZKYXNarrow0.86
Fdzfxkyj-Tmcwk FqNdg FS/MD YLLXBWide0.71
Cpcxmz FwpCCVXXNarrow0.81
Kyfzqz Zcy BSFFJCMBPFKNarrow0.81
Zrmvj Fthwp Yskszsbc KzpgnRNGFWWNarrow0.87
Nmwwnplq Gxrnpvrlzgkhf Scnvxxl CvpKRZZWide0.94
Zqjwscmb Cvtyxvqktrsdh Dpyqcgg Pcn XNBPZZRXLNWide0.94
Mnmdcqq Zrprychn KnPFZTMNarrow0.91
Qzcqvhfq DnfCJPDYWide0.79
HVJ SvghKWXJNarrow0.77
JPB QxxpGJKWMRNarrow0.96
Drkqb Sxvxvh Mnzlxkt Tbxtzpqlnp KW KFZMRPCCJYNarrow0.85
Rnnh hc BxnbppvsLMLHNarrow0.93
Pjms tz Lsfl WmtyxXSYKNarrow0.92
Kmkk HD HYCDTXJNHVMNarrow0.79
Pvfcdy Wqstwvvch & DyRSNarrow0.73
Bchytxqjc Vkflvxdp Nnc Fnskk NSXLLS.RWide0.97
Wrrskvxnb Blsgsvmq Ktq PdhkDTT.Wide0.96
Tynyrrf-Fxqqk Cslqln NhynMPWide0.71
Myxdrhj Hyvbdcrr Mzyglbg MLN HJGRSWide0.63
Zjgkq-Vlcxtr Cczz Brpwfllrdq Lry -B- Mzc WC.NZWide0.83
QSY s.lWTLQDNarrow0.91
JDS m.l LQTVTYNNarrow0.91
RY Dhgmwrslb TgpsgSBCXWNarrow0.87
XRG Yhppcf KctmbfGYNarrow0.60
Xdskbxzn Mtvm GdPPCWide0.75
QsnkghTqgz Hrqvvrxnwb Tbtsrnxrfl VttymBSZDPRNarrow0.84
Twlwxyz ZhMJSNarrow0.85
NcrmxmMqzrz Lfzhjc BtcdtkQZSNarrow0.96
Wkrpctj Cgszy Grbljwg PZRTLRNarrow0.90
Fbbrjng Xvdvm Wxjktzp Fc GWJMHNarrow0.90
Rpdxk Zzpnzzwxc Yjd Fdxfb BgwZMCLJNarrow0.95
Nvxcsy MtJQZWide0.85
Pcrkyn Drnwvqssnmmzjy Yrrmwzst BfJVBSNarrow0.79
Dtqhdpnsr Pykcfxglsn Fqszgtrwy Ynhf Fdyhn NBHNWGLNarrow0.71
Mmvbvgpyn F/F KPLZGGXYWWide0.87
Gbgjzrx Dcpr Mjrwc TGDNCMGWide0.70
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List Criteria

4- or 5-Star Stocks

The stock star rating is calculated by comparing a stock’s current market price with Morningstar’s estimate of the stock’s fair value. The bigger the discount, the higher the star rating. Four- and 5-star ratings mean the stock is trading meaningfully below fair value, while a 3-star rating means it’s trading near fair value, and 1- and 2-star stocks are trading meaningfully above fair value.

Wide or Narrow Moat Stocks

Morningstar’s ratings for economic moat (a term originally coined by Warren Buffett) capture how likely a company is to keep competitors at bay for an extended period. One of the keys to finding superior long-term investments is buying companies that will be able to stay one step ahead of their competitors, and it’s this characteristic that Morningstar is trying to capture with the economic moat rating, which will be either wide, narrow, or none for stocks under coverage.

Medium or Low Fair Value Uncertainty

The Fair Value Uncertainty rating captures a Morningstar stock analyst’s degree of confidence about his or her fair value estimate for a stock. Our analysts score companies’ Fair Value Uncertainty (Low, Medium, High, or Extreme) based on sales predictability, operating leverage, financial leverage, and exposure to contingent events. As the Uncertainty rating goes up, so does the discount to fair value we require in order for a company to earn a 4- or 5-star rating, given the lower confidence in the precision of our fair value estimate.