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Moats On Sale

These firms have an edge on the competition and look to be trading below their fair value.
This list features stocks that meet three criteria. First, they are trading at a discount to Morningstar analysts’ estimates of their fair value (in other words, 4- or 5- star stocks). The stock star rating is calculated by comparing a stock’s current market price with that stock’s Morningstar fair value estimate. Second, companies on this list are also rated as having an economic moat. Morningstar’s ratings for economic moat (a term originally coined by Warren Buffett) capture how likely a company is to keep competitors at bay for an extended period. We think wide-moat firms’ advantages are the most sustainable (20 years or more, in our estimation), while narrow-moat firms should keep their edge for at least 10 years. Third, we wanted companies with a Fair Value Uncertainty that is Medium or lower. We are more confident in our fair value estimates for companies rated Low or Medium.
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Name
Ticker
Morningstar Rating for Stocks
Economic Moat
Price/Fair Value
APA GroupAPAJFNarrow0.93
KQK ZqtzDYCPWide0.94
TRG Yqm VFKMQTTPWide0.94
KJ&P QhjmLWNarrow0.75
Gfnltjmd TMFJXQDNarrow0.92
Wzh Ycytkptj & Wqwtvzpsm GxlXQWide0.83
Zlwczpks DYNRVBWMRWide0.87
Sdgxdkj Hdbqkc MBDDNarrow0.89
Whmxyz Cyftb LsvkvsHYWide0.92
Wpkyq ZR DNBLTCVZBWide0.64
Ztksp BZZHGHPNYHNarrow0.96
Yzgtm WSN Ljcpzwmk DhmVLBGNarrow0.90
Bgyfndg Yfrhw RZW yj CD Brbxngms Tzjbhz - Bhghx SQSNVQMNarrow0.89
Wbcdbmbw Ldzvr BdmwTXYKNarrow0.86
Mjjrgrmf-Qqspx RpYjb FW/VJ FJJWVWide0.71
Gxqtwg SjnmhBQDMLNarrow0.81
Rcfqrm Yhx QHVLKXQWVQNarrow0.81
Yhftn Nmzht Jjvlrmbz MtsdqzJGQJXVNarrow0.87
Jgjmdmtw Gjprmnmgrqnzz Vtvqblv FrYWZSQWide0.94
Xdvpfwfg Drhcnkzbcfbmg Dvrqdmq Www PPWJZNCKWide0.94
Nbjypcj Svqknqhp LtvXQKNNarrow0.91
Xfkkxcpf LwbMLDFNWide0.79
MMJ HycWNNarrow0.77
FPD PptxXNTNRNarrow0.96
Vrnyf Ztqrpz Klwdxdv Pwbqdvngjp YP BKSVYRYXNarrow0.85
Lrsw nm CkzmycGVZNarrow0.93
Wjzr pj Ydzc DppvfXQNarrow0.92
Jkqm XS HKDCJMCFNarrow0.79
Jcbssk Vyfpqggtz &HJNarrow0.73
Nkzczlwrz Fzqhbwyz Zbx Lwgrp XBDVPL.SWide0.97
Sqqvmgtng Zyrtgzcl Njx Lfmzp KFKJ.TWide0.96
Ydkqbvz-Rfdmn Ssxkdb JzVZZWide0.71
Nlqbmfb Ynfcrwqw Rlhyvns NDR MBGQBPRGWide0.63
Ywfmf-Yqhwdj Ccfc Kryvvbxmhj Kyy -L- Zkq PmvYH.DPWide0.83
MKZ r.RCNMVNarrow0.91
VNG w.f GBSNQPDNarrow0.91
KP Tsgmvzvgt VcdzvJFKTSKNarrow0.87
MVW Krljsq DmkhVYLNarrow0.60
Fcjdsgdh Wszm GWTJWWide0.75
DshbtlYszv Jnlgdcwkpm Vrtvzvbmkn TcpntkxHJCXCNarrow0.84
Kwxzfjg ZbbPMTTNarrow0.85
RpnqgqKfcwg Grdbxh SHYYNarrow0.96
Dywthly Xtmnl Cjrvvrh DbvNMSNNarrow0.90
Rgsyjkz Jdnhy Dkydpxc Qy KPLPPRKNarrow0.90
Qkfrd Vwxyqmsqh Ydf Jqzxx NqllfdGVNMTLNarrow0.95
Ykkmys HcZPGKWide0.85
Gptztj Cvtzpnrjbykjrj Ryfbrwtn GHNXNarrow0.79
Csmbdkmbs Vlxpbggqfv Vbfdccmry Sylq Qbhnm JPXQWNarrow0.71
Stsrvtxsk L/C XHWXKNWide0.87
Lxkblkr Qbsg CnjckKNCNFWide0.70
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List Criteria

4- or 5-Star Stocks

The stock star rating is calculated by comparing a stock’s current market price with Morningstar’s estimate of the stock’s fair value. The bigger the discount, the higher the star rating. Four- and 5-star ratings mean the stock is trading meaningfully below fair value, while a 3-star rating means it’s trading near fair value, and 1- and 2-star stocks are trading meaningfully above fair value.

Wide or Narrow Moat Stocks

Morningstar’s ratings for economic moat (a term originally coined by Warren Buffett) capture how likely a company is to keep competitors at bay for an extended period. One of the keys to finding superior long-term investments is buying companies that will be able to stay one step ahead of their competitors, and it’s this characteristic that Morningstar is trying to capture with the economic moat rating, which will be either wide, narrow, or none for stocks under coverage.

Medium or Low Fair Value Uncertainty

The Fair Value Uncertainty rating captures a Morningstar stock analyst’s degree of confidence about his or her fair value estimate for a stock. Our analysts score companies’ Fair Value Uncertainty (Low, Medium, High, or Extreme) based on sales predictability, operating leverage, financial leverage, and exposure to contingent events. As the Uncertainty rating goes up, so does the discount to fair value we require in order for a company to earn a 4- or 5-star rating, given the lower confidence in the precision of our fair value estimate.