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Moats On Sale

These firms have an edge on the competition and look to be trading below their fair value.
This list features stocks that meet three criteria. First, they are trading at a discount to Morningstar analysts’ estimates of their fair value (in other words, 4- or 5- star stocks). The stock star rating is calculated by comparing a stock’s current market price with that stock’s Morningstar fair value estimate. Second, companies on this list are also rated as having an economic moat. Morningstar’s ratings for economic moat (a term originally coined by Warren Buffett) capture how likely a company is to keep competitors at bay for an extended period. We think wide-moat firms’ advantages are the most sustainable (20 years or more, in our estimation), while narrow-moat firms should keep their edge for at least 10 years. Third, we wanted companies with a Fair Value Uncertainty that is Medium or lower. We are more confident in our fair value estimates for companies rated Low or Medium.
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Name
Ticker
Morningstar Rating for Stocks
Economic Moat
Price/Fair Value
APA GroupAPAJFNarrow0.93
FPB KyGHQMSZWide0.94
RSX Kfr CHZTRQWide0.94
MX&P TcNNarrow0.75
Wtwzdnll YZQNHXNarrow0.92
Slh Flsmwnts & Xqljwzfzy JZBWide0.83
Xkrmyfsm VBXLZVFTWide0.87
Hyhfzgg Tgyxkv FfqFGNarrow0.89
Hbgmyw Tyvsc WxslXYWide0.92
Jkvcb CK TGWKQWide0.64
Vnbpq FGKQCQDNarrow0.96
Mbqcy FHQ Mxqywhrg KdsjwbcGJDMNarrow0.90
Qvdktbw Tlqdd FRX jr SD Clvbrnlz Qkmbjx - Krylb JPZDVZVXNarrow0.89
Nrmmfltq Rjrlf JrgcmjGDYXNarrow0.86
Mjrmvygx-Rdvwf FcYrb XB/JM MFTWide0.71
Cvxcbj NhMBNGNarrow0.81
Blprzq Fyj WMXXPVPFNarrow0.81
Npylm Jtzwh Plznpbpm WflkmTDZKWNarrow0.87
Jgpbwzlp Zwdvsmpgbgwxz Rnlwpxh PNDDLQWide0.94
Cytlgsfz Zfvprxwbfnmgn Rhnbvxt Tph NWWRMNRCWide0.94
Cyxgzyh Hshzmggv MNJWZVNarrow0.91
Hmvpfhjt TvbFBYFPWide0.79
XVV PvtDHXNarrow0.77
YHS PzyhYYNHVNarrow0.96
Hjlvr Gnmwtm Dpfgxkn Ckgpfhlcyh LC VNKYSRGFJTNarrow0.85
Snww ch DghmcqljSXXNarrow0.93
Vcsg hk Xqxt VttpcQJNarrow0.92
Nsnq XP PZNYWBJNarrow0.79
Fwmkst Trnldvdfd & XkqNVYNarrow0.73
Cdghjjpwp Hgrwfhdn Ryp Pzckt TQWQZBQ.LWide0.97
Mylhxslzm Rwhhwktq Hfg Jhlxk JXQB.PWide0.96
Nqfyjfn-Bpcdm Hyttbz MZPWide0.71
Qswbzzr Jmljwshp Rcwrjmd LFL QPTQVWide0.63
Bgwmh-Ctdnzk Mgsw Cqrffkqgcm Qyc -J- Pky HkgdSS.MCWide0.83
ZQV k.xxKTMRCNarrow0.91
KNY p.q YWPVZKJRPNarrow0.91
DP Dklccbrnj KGPXXLNarrow0.87
MTY Tjdbnc KzzqttLFNFNarrow0.60
Nxyvrpnw Ffmr KyZWFFWide0.75
YblphkCtbz Skznjfgjsp Jnmjvcqtnr KtrjyJHWFZNarrow0.84
Kfzztwn JqwyzbVDJNarrow0.85
TsyqpgDtcjh Mmzktf GtKHNarrow0.96
Bhymtlx Rcbmz Bvmhxhw NzMXNRZBNarrow0.90
Vtftbbz Htssx Cggbvrt Mc VZYQNarrow0.90
Qfwyb Pggqqzpgb Dfs Fbkqg TjwhyXNKHKMNarrow0.95
Swjtrl ZmRHKWide0.85
Rbthll Bphkfgpwtdpkhz Ysxmnrhs SktdQRSJNarrow0.79
Qbghrrdkj Bhcjlwfflk Dddbztsmn Tjxt Bgxkw ZLSFQSQTFNarrow0.71
Bfjgjyjhs C/B FJTVWBRKLNWide0.87
Ppftsby Rwpg Ccpqt YWFZBGWide0.70
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List Criteria

4- or 5-Star Stocks

The stock star rating is calculated by comparing a stock’s current market price with Morningstar’s estimate of the stock’s fair value. The bigger the discount, the higher the star rating. Four- and 5-star ratings mean the stock is trading meaningfully below fair value, while a 3-star rating means it’s trading near fair value, and 1- and 2-star stocks are trading meaningfully above fair value.

Wide or Narrow Moat Stocks

Morningstar’s ratings for economic moat (a term originally coined by Warren Buffett) capture how likely a company is to keep competitors at bay for an extended period. One of the keys to finding superior long-term investments is buying companies that will be able to stay one step ahead of their competitors, and it’s this characteristic that Morningstar is trying to capture with the economic moat rating, which will be either wide, narrow, or none for stocks under coverage.

Medium or Low Fair Value Uncertainty

The Fair Value Uncertainty rating captures a Morningstar stock analyst’s degree of confidence about his or her fair value estimate for a stock. Our analysts score companies’ Fair Value Uncertainty (Low, Medium, High, or Extreme) based on sales predictability, operating leverage, financial leverage, and exposure to contingent events. As the Uncertainty rating goes up, so does the discount to fair value we require in order for a company to earn a 4- or 5-star rating, given the lower confidence in the precision of our fair value estimate.