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Moats On Sale

These firms have an edge on the competition and look to be trading below their fair value.
This list features stocks that meet three criteria. First, they are trading at a discount to Morningstar analysts’ estimates of their fair value (in other words, 4- or 5- star stocks). The stock star rating is calculated by comparing a stock’s current market price with that stock’s Morningstar fair value estimate. Second, companies on this list are also rated as having an economic moat. Morningstar’s ratings for economic moat (a term originally coined by Warren Buffett) capture how likely a company is to keep competitors at bay for an extended period. We think wide-moat firms’ advantages are the most sustainable (20 years or more, in our estimation), while narrow-moat firms should keep their edge for at least 10 years. Third, we wanted companies with a Fair Value Uncertainty that is Medium or lower. We are more confident in our fair value estimates for companies rated Low or Medium.
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Name
Ticker
Morningstar Rating for Stocks
Economic Moat
Price/Fair Value
APA GroupAPAJFNarrow0.93
WTG LfhSRPCFWide0.94
RYX Wyd YPGRYXPNNXWide0.94
XJ&G BvpJNarrow0.75
Hknbdwlv SZCBZPNarrow0.92
Kws Nlwnxdxc & Zbqvyhhtm PhfwfsCXGWide0.83
Hqtmrydq PDDDMTCDPHWide0.87
Rdhsqwx Vjlrsh YggrkctQZBNarrow0.89
Hbbzdt Hydys BbpjySSWide0.92
Vlzpc YC XGYGQGWide0.64
Lhfnv CSZKPQZKNarrow0.96
Mbswc DVC Nqtdfddy JqbgzyfZHHPZNarrow0.90
Gyqvdgx Mvxmq LYG zh QP Klhdxypk Vfypbn - Vfqps LTSCKLNarrow0.89
Pktxhpql Zfjrz HqwhSPNarrow0.86
Mbmlzmsd-Vzvmq VyXqf YP/TJ NPLWide0.71
Spdkvb FJQZQNarrow0.81
Rswjdz Vpf SBNXBXNarrow0.81
Hdmhc Qfmhd Psnsmzbd NgpBRYVSNarrow0.87
Gkxmgwbn Sjvyqwfzhgndd Qxgpwrs DjVMSCSWide0.94
Bkhbjrsh Gsvyqqplzcytc Hlnyzqb Zhg BLZXQTRWWKWide0.94
Vckmslg Tjtpmwfy SMNGCNarrow0.91
Ykdftcbf TqxKMHNWide0.79
RHX XxqRKSNarrow0.77
TTB QpstYNKRLNarrow0.96
Wxlnr Vbmxbt Fsqydcs Xmhhpblpgq DQ JVPWNCSDWJDNarrow0.85
Kxdf px RwmrcqrcGMCNarrow0.93
Lrqq qz Dgpd LzhZCTNarrow0.92
Ftsj DF LNJBNTFJVNarrow0.79
Yljrpn Pkgmqdsvj & VdpVZSNarrow0.73
Mspycxhxj Lbprlxqw Khv FvvkyBXV.SWide0.97
Nfslfjrpy Whtpyqrr Lvl Wbtvc DHQ.RWide0.96
Rbjjpxv-Zfcln Xzxsbm BwtmKHHWide0.71
Pdjvstm Fdkwmvts Rkblfjc JYJ LHRXPCZWide0.63
Pxgrn-Kqsrck Grsd Byqvqplnvg Lgl -Y- Vlc MzjLT.Wide0.83
YYR x.vjGWFVNarrow0.91
MXR l.f FXZZPWVNarrow0.91
JR Rnycgrlps MvmtMRXNYLNarrow0.87
KKC Vydlwt BxfqZDSNarrow0.60
Vcqmlyfs Gjlm ZhlSHWide0.75
LtkyfwJplp Xbxhckywzv Ykqxphdldv TpRKHKNarrow0.84
Htxkjcd SnpdjyQWRNarrow0.85
TbhbtfWbllr Tpcrjt ZfphcQWNarrow0.96
Zphxwvy Dkltk Sgkgxcq XcHDSZRNarrow0.90
Fpglqzg Rqcqx Scglqsf Jr FCCRMSFPYSNarrow0.90
Nglgw Kmfhssbyz Psw Wjxjf PhvRDPYFNarrow0.95
Dyxysp WHLKWide0.85
Bflxmn Schrxmhypglfzg Qsgkrpfx FmthFLJWXNarrow0.79
Bwnsvwjpn Xwsqjzsgmh Ccczzsdwr Bxwt Twlsk VMVYWNarrow0.71
Xvxnzwzlc N/Y GPCFMDFGZQBMWide0.87
Gmpxnbc Yvxw Kxfvc LZLQWWide0.70
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List Criteria

4- or 5-Star Stocks

The stock star rating is calculated by comparing a stock’s current market price with Morningstar’s estimate of the stock’s fair value. The bigger the discount, the higher the star rating. Four- and 5-star ratings mean the stock is trading meaningfully below fair value, while a 3-star rating means it’s trading near fair value, and 1- and 2-star stocks are trading meaningfully above fair value.

Wide or Narrow Moat Stocks

Morningstar’s ratings for economic moat (a term originally coined by Warren Buffett) capture how likely a company is to keep competitors at bay for an extended period. One of the keys to finding superior long-term investments is buying companies that will be able to stay one step ahead of their competitors, and it’s this characteristic that Morningstar is trying to capture with the economic moat rating, which will be either wide, narrow, or none for stocks under coverage.

Medium or Low Fair Value Uncertainty

The Fair Value Uncertainty rating captures a Morningstar stock analyst’s degree of confidence about his or her fair value estimate for a stock. Our analysts score companies’ Fair Value Uncertainty (Low, Medium, High, or Extreme) based on sales predictability, operating leverage, financial leverage, and exposure to contingent events. As the Uncertainty rating goes up, so does the discount to fair value we require in order for a company to earn a 4- or 5-star rating, given the lower confidence in the precision of our fair value estimate.