AutoNation Earnings: Buybacks Continue To Drive EPS Growth but Overall Performance Still Solid

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Securities In This Article
AutoNation Inc
(AN)

AutoNation AN reported good first-quarter results given U.S. macroeconomic uncertainty and continues to significantly boost its EPS via share repurchases. Diluted EPS of $6.07 rose 5% year over year and beat the Refinitiv consensus of $5.74, however, we calculate EPS would have declined 29.1% absent buybacks. AutoNation has long been an aggressive repurchaser of its stock, having reduced the diluted share count by 90% since year-end 1998 by our calculation. First-quarter buybacks totaled 2.4 million shares for $305 million, or $127.08 per share, which we like since it’s below our fair value estimate. Buyback authorization is about $875 million, and we don’t expect the board to hesitate to increase this amount when likely needed later this year. Management remains well disciplined by balancing repurchases while maintaining a healthy balance sheet and investing in omnichannel capability and the AutoNation USA standalone used stores. The USA stores opened two more locations in the quarter (Albuquerque and Austin) to bring its store count to 15.

Same-store revenue fell 6.2% with increases only coming from new vehicles and service, up 4% and 8%, respectively. Total company new vehicle unit volume fell 2.4%, but revenue per new vehicle rose by 7.1% to $53,244 with 45% of sales at the manufacturers’ suggested retail price. New vehicle gross profit per unit, or GPU, fell by 14.8% as industry profits continue to come off record highs in recent years caused by the chip shortage, but new vehicle GPU of $5,210 remains far above 2019 levels of about $1,800. Total new vehicle gross profit fell by 16.8%, which led to total company gross profit down 1.7% and overhead costs as a percentage of gross profit rising 420 basis points to a still-excellent level of 60.8%. We’re glad to see heavy reliance on not sourcing used inventory from auctions helping used vehicle GPU grow 35.2% to $2,117, increasing total retail used gross profit by 14.5% despite a 21.2% fall in used retail revenue.

The author or authors do not own shares in any securities mentioned in this article. Find out about Morningstar’s editorial policies.

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David Whiston, CFA, CPA, CFE

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David Whiston, CFA, CPA, CFE, is a strategist, AM Industrials, for Morningstar*. He covers stocks in the automotive industry, including dealerships, parts manufacturers, and automakers. He has covered the automotive industry since joining Morningstar in 2007. He writes stock reports, ad hoc reports, stock analyst notes, and builds discounted cash flow models for each company covered. He also assesses their economic moat and makes frequent television and print media appearances in local, national, and international news outlets. Key stocks covered include GM, Ford, CarMax, and all six publicly traded franchise auto dealers, such as AutoNation and Penske Automotive Group.

Before joining Morningstar in 2007, Whiston spent four years in PricewaterhouseCoopers’ New York real estate audit practice and one year in its Chicago office working on real estate acquisition due diligence, gaining experience around assessing an asset’s cash flow.

Whiston holds a bachelor’s degree in business administration with a concentration in accounting from the University of Richmond’s Robins School of Business. He also holds a master’s degree in business administration with concentrations in finance, economics, and organizational behavior from the University of Chicago Booth School of Business. He holds the Chartered Financial Analyst® designation, and he is a Certified Public Accountant and a Certified Fraud Examiner.

In 2012, he ranked first in the specialty retailers and services industry in The Wall Street Journal’s annual “Best on the Street” analysts survey. He ranked first in the same industry in 2011 .

* Morningstar Research Services LLC (“Morningstar”) is a wholly owned subsidiary of Morningstar, Inc

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