HUB24 Ltd HUB

Morningstar Rating
A$59.16 +1.61 (2.80%)
View Full Chart

Company Report

Hub24 Earnings: Evident Trade-Off Between Growth and Margins

No-moat Hub24’s fiscal 2024 results missed our expectations, partly due to transitional factors. Underlying net profit after tax grew by 15% from the prior year but fell 12% short of our forecast, mainly due to lower-than-expected group EBITDA margin, partially offset by a lower tax rate. The lower EBITDA margin included expenses for MyProsperity, a newly acquired, loss-making ancillary offering, which we expect to increase earnings over time through cross-selling. Excluding MyProsperity, EBITDA margin for Hub24's primary platform suite slightly expanded, in line with our expectations. We marginally lift our fair value estimate to AUD 27 per share from AUD 26, reflecting a minor reduction in medium-term tax rates.

Price vs Fair Value

HUB is trading at a 783% premium.
Price
A$59.16
Fair Value
A$24.00
Uncertainty
High
1-Star Price
A$97.31
5-Star Price
A$95.60
Economic Moat
Sfd
Capital Allocation
Txwqngzcb

Bulls Say, Bears Say

Bulls

Despite rapid growth, Hub24 accounts for only a small proportion of the investment administration market. There remains significant earnings upside.

Bears

Hub24 operates in a commoditized industry. We expect the larger providers to continue improving the functionality of their platforms and compete more aggressively on price.

Trading Information

Previous Close Price
A$57.55
Day Range
A$56.9759.16
52-Week Range
A$29.5059.16
Bid/Ask
A$59.05 / A$59.30
Market Cap
A$4.80 Bil
Volume/Avg
302,326 / 279,317

Key Statistics

Price/Earnings (Normalized)
68.33
Price/Sales
15.30
Dividend Yield (Trailing)
0.64%
Dividend Yield (Forward)
0.66%
Total Yield
1.06%

Company Profile

Hub24 is a diversified financial services business. The firm’s core platform segment engages in the development and provision of custodial and noncustodial administration services to financial advisors, stockbrokers, accountants, and their clients. The tech solutions segment provides a range of technology and data services, as well as cloud-based software. Hub24 serves individuals, companies, trusts, associations, or self-managed superannuation funds. The firm has 7% share of the Australian platform market, in contrast to the largest five providers with an average market share of 14% each.
Sector
Financial Services
Industry
Capital Markets
Stock Style Box
Mid Growth
Total Number of Employees

Competitors

Valuation

Metric
HUB
IFL
NWL
Price/Earnings (Normalized)
68.3312.1272.62
Price/Book Value
9.230.8642.87
Price/Sales
15.300.9324.32
Price/Cash Flow
56.0768.99
Price/Earnings
HUB
IFL
NWL

Financial Strength

Metric
HUB
IFL
NWL
Quick Ratio
2.645.24
Current Ratio
2.985.74
Interest Coverage
24.83−0.07
Quick Ratio
HUB
IFL
NWL

Profitability

Metric
HUB
IFL
NWL
Return on Assets (Normalized)
11.24%4.13%47.13%
Return on Equity (Normalized)
13.25%8.29%62.41%
Return on Invested Capital (Normalized)
12.13%5.40%
Return on Assets
HUB
IFL
NWL

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