JPM Europe Dynamic's strengths lie in its stable and effective team that is well-supported by a far-reaching organization, while the investment process does not stand out, in our view.
Team head Jon Ingram has steered this strategy since 2005, providing continuity. Comanager Alex Whyte joined the roster in late 2023 ahead of former comanager John Baker's retirement from the industry in 2024, whereas Blake Crawford was appointed in April 2019. Along with them, Victoria Helvert and recent hire Thomas Harray round out the Dynamic team, which is part of the wider international-equity group at JPM Asset Management. They sit alongside the research and implementation teams, working closely with them to execute the approach. The global analyst bank, whose bottom-up stock research provides deeper insights and fundamental analysis, is also a positive.
This stable team is well-versed in the process, which attempts to combine quantitative research and fundamental analysis to target relatively cheaper, higher-quality stocks with an improving business outlook. The quantitatively driven model underpinning this offering has been in place since 2000, though it has evolved with ongoing enhancements implemented by the dedicated quantitative unit led by Nick Horne. The model screens out the least liquid stocks in Europe and identifies potential opportunities. Daily meetings are then held by the team to review the model's output and cover company updates, published earnings changes, adjustments to estimates, and other relevant news flow around which analysts may carry out further research. The best stock ideas should display positive quality and momentum characteristics, while also being deemed attractively valued. The team ultimately combines 60-100 holdings to build a core portfolio, with new positions typically initiated on companies displaying positive earnings momentum. The portfolio is sufficiently diversified, but its exposure to the momentum factor is meaningful and usually ranks among the highest in its category. This leads to a high portfolio turnover of around 150% per year, which increases all-in costs and requires a hands-on approach. Internal risk systems are dynamic, helping to provide a good handle on positioning, style, and active risk contributions in real time.
Over the current management team's tenure, performance is ahead of the MSCI Europe Index and Europe large-cap blend equity Morningstar Category average. However, the strategy tends to be riskier than peers, and its outperformance has been uneven. It lagged the market four calendar years in a row up to the end of 2019, which was its worst consecutive run. The process ultimately hinges on the persistence of factor premiums: When value and especially momentum are out of favor, the strategy struggles to keep up with the broader market. This works both ways, though, as factor exposures represented a tailwind in 2020–22 as well as in the first half of 2024. Overall, the strategy is expected to deliver positive outcomes in stable market environments, where earnings and price momentum are the driving forces. On the other hand, similar to many quantitative approaches, inflection points and rapidly changing market conditions may prove challenging to navigate.