Freshpet Is Well Positioned for More Growth and Margin Expansion, but Market Expectations Are Lofty

With its fresh products, Freshpet is well positioned to capitalize on continued growing pet ownership along with humanization trends by expanding its store footprint and growing its sales-per-store. It primarily focuses on the $37 billion US dog food market (2023 estimate according to Euromonitor) through company-owned and -maintained refrigerators in 27,100 grocery, mass and club, pet specialty, and natural stores. The company estimates a market opportunity of at least 30,000 stores, though we forecast at least 35,000 by the end of our 10-year forecast period given the 46,000 supermarkets in the US alone, not including pet specialty stores.