Market Underestimating Martin Marietta
The narrow-moat firm earned a record $1 billion in EBITDA in 2017.
We’re raising narrow-moat
Despite the significant impact on third-quarter performance from hurricanes Harvey and Irma, Martin Marietta generated record EBITDA for 2017 of more than $1 billion. Although this represents just 3% growth from 2016, it’s notable since aggregates shipments actually fell 1% from the prior year due to the weather. In spite of weather holding back volumes, companywide pricing still rose 4.5% over the prior year and gross margin expanded by about 70 basis points.
Looking ahead to 2018, Martin Marietta expects modest growth across all of its end markets, driving guidance of 4% to 6% volume growth and 3% to 5% pricing growth for aggregates. We’re forecasting continued mid-single-digit volume growth through 2022 as construction demand continues to strengthen. In turn, this should help the company push through mid-single-digit pricing increases across its footprint, helping drive gross margins higher through the forecast period.
Morningstar Premium Members gain exclusive access to our full analyst reports, including fair value estimates, bull and bear breakdowns, and risk analyses. Not a Premium Member? Get this and other reports immediately when you try Morningstar Premium free for 14 days.