Brown-Forman Corp Registered Shs -B- Non Vtg BF.B

Morningstar Rating

Company Report

Brown-Forman Earnings: Weak Consumer Sentiment Weighed on Sales but Premiumization Still a Tailwind

We plan to maintain our $55 fair value estimate for wide-moat Brown-Forman after absorbing its fiscal 2025 first-quarter results. While organic sales fell by 4% and earnings per share contracted 14%, we expect performance to improve in the second half due to product innovation and stepped-up marketing. We see no need to change our 2025 estimates, which align with management’s outlook for 2%-4% organic growth in sales and operating income and our 10-year forecasts for mid-single-digit annual sales growth and low-30s average operating margins. Shares look undervalued.

Price vs Fair Value

BF.B is trading at a 388% premium.
Price
$48.33
Fair Value
$49.00
Uncertainty
Medium
1-Star Price
$59.26
5-Star Price
$44.10
Economic Moat
Rtc
Capital Allocation
Klpjwcjhy

Bulls Say, Bears Say

Bulls

Premiumization trends in spirits consumption, coupled with Brown-Forman’s strong innovation pipeline, bode well for mid- to high-single-digit top-line growth in the coming years.

Bears

Brown-Forman is less diversified in category exposure compared with larger rivals Diageo and Pernod and could therefore be more susceptible to volume swings should demand soften for its core American whiskey products.

News

Trading Information

Previous Close Price
Day Range
52-Week Range
Bid/Ask
/
Market Cap
Volume/Avg
/

Key Statistics

Price/Earnings (Normalized)
23.35
Price/Sales
5.62
Dividend Yield (Trailing)
1.80%
Dividend Yield (Forward)
1.80%
Total Yield
3.57%

Company Profile

Brown-Forman is a us-based manufacturer of premium distilled spirits that generates close to 70% of revenues in the whiskey category, under well-known Tennessee whiskey brand Jack Daniel’s and bourbon brands Woodford Reserve and Old Forester. It also manufactures and distributes tequila, vodka, rum, gin, and premium wines. The company generates 45% of sales from its home market, while the bulk of international revenues come from Europe, Australia, and Latin America. The Brown family controls over 50% of the economic interests and a 67% voting power of the company.
Sector
Consumer Defensive
Industry
Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries
Stock Style Box
Mid Core
Total Number of Employees
5,700

Competitors

Valuation

Metric
BF.B
RI
DGE
Price/Earnings (Normalized)
23.3519.2319.40
Price/Book Value
6.592.167.32
Price/Sales
5.622.953.64
Price/Cash Flow
26.6813.7215.13
Price/Earnings
BF.B
RI
DGE

Financial Strength

Metric
BF.B
RI
DGE
Quick Ratio
0.740.640.50
Current Ratio
2.471.861.53
Interest Coverage
10.515.855.64
Quick Ratio
BF.B
RI
DGE

Profitability

Metric
BF.B
RI
DGE
Return on Assets (Normalized)
9.77%5.19%8.78%
Return on Equity (Normalized)
23.42%12.59%40.55%
Return on Invested Capital (Normalized)
13.49%7.60%14.13%
Return on Assets
BF.B
RI
DGE

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