European Private Market Firms: Moaty, Highly Profitable With Secular Tailwinds, but at a Steep Price

We initiate coverage with narrow moat ratings on all three major European-based private market firms: CVC Capital Partners PLC, EQT AB, and Partners Group Holdings AG. We expect all three firms to remain highly profitable, and the private market industry benefits from established secular growth trends. However, the eye-watering mid-20s EV/EBITDA multiples the firms trade at currently suggest that the market already prices in these strong fundamentals. We do not believe that higher interest rates mark a structural change in the industry, but we expect near-term dealmaking to remain muted.