Iluka Resources Ltd

ILU: XASX (AUS)
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A$1.40HkflvGxqntqmh

Iluka Resources: Constrained Mineral Sands Supply Still a Significant Tailwind

We maintain our AUD 11 fair value estimate for no-moat Iluka after incorporating the company's latest guidance. We now forecast average zircon production of roughly 295,000 metric tons, up from around 280,000, from 2023 to 2025. Our forecast includes the company’s production of zircon in concentrate, a lower-grade product that Iluka uses as a source of flexible supply to the market and also generates satisfactory returns from its low-grade zircon stockpiles. We now forecast average synthetic rutile production of about 320,000 metric tons, modestly down from 330,000, but continue to forecast average rutile production of around 70,000 metric tons from 2023 to 2025.

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