JB Hi Fi Ltd

JBH: XASX (AUS)
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Morningstar Rating for Stocks Fair Value Economic Moat Capital Allocation
A$98.00BwxrnCllwtxlzm

JB Hi-Fi’s Sales and Earnings Resilience to be Tested From March 2021. FVE Unchanged at AUD 30

We maintain our earnings forecasts and AUD 30 per share fair value estimate for no-moat JB Hi-Fi following its first-half results. We maintain our AUD 2.43 per share dividend forecast for full-fiscal year 2021, equating to a 5% yield at current share prices. However, we forecast earnings to come off the pandemic-induced cyclical high and expect dividends to fall back to AUD 1.64 per share in fiscal 2022. Against our fair value estimate, shares in JB Hi-Fi screen as materially overvalued. The market is likely expecting sales and profits to remain at abnormally high levels for longer than we expect.

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