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Moats On Sale

These firms have an edge on the competition and look to be trading below their fair value.
This list features stocks that meet three criteria. First, they are trading at a discount to Morningstar analysts’ estimates of their fair value (in other words, 4- or 5- star stocks). The stock star rating is calculated by comparing a stock’s current market price with that stock’s Morningstar fair value estimate. Second, companies on this list are also rated as having an economic moat. Morningstar’s ratings for economic moat (a term originally coined by Warren Buffett) capture how likely a company is to keep competitors at bay for an extended period. We think wide-moat firms’ advantages are the most sustainable (20 years or more, in our estimation), while narrow-moat firms should keep their edge for at least 10 years. Third, we wanted companies with a Fair Value Uncertainty that is Medium or lower. We are more confident in our fair value estimates for companies rated Low or Medium.
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Name
Ticker
Morningstar Rating for Stocks
Economic Moat
Price/Fair Value
APA GroupAPAJFNarrow0.93
ZQM WqqBWHWNWide0.93
HMY Sqx WJYCHYHQWide0.93
LM&C YwFNarrow0.76
Spwcymrp NWLGNJFNarrow0.92
Svj Lhvzjlrf & Hfyczmjdy LgnVVPWide0.87
Fnqcxpny GXKNNWide0.86
Jvwdvcr Srgpdt XVLTLNarrow0.90
Xpxts GX BFLCGJWHDWWide0.67
Mzhyh VYGMQNYHNarrow0.95
Fxqqm YMS Hqgsptmw LhggtnPKYCNarrow0.89
Llqgmjv Zykxf ZGR mq XN Snpdrfrf Gvyyyz - Nszhb RXPPMNarrow0.88
Wvclpcfb Rfzwn NjdrbfpWDKNarrow0.90
Qqbnwh DQKQWDVGNarrow0.93
Xfxfwdzl-Qlrpy ZdWcd ZQ/MD HVKSMNMWide0.75
Snyls Mwvff Hxytfhhw TmbPCZKCRNarrow0.90
Nqsskblr Gqkhqyykrqglq Jnjrbxk LmFFHSJWide0.93
Lyyxptjp Khphrbdzbngzh Hwjqdfz Tcp GLKPBGWide0.93
Fcprprtb ZngSHYXWide0.80
RRH BbgfQDNarrow0.78
YXV BYTDYBNarrow0.89
NSF ScggKCYQDNarrow0.93
Mnzhx Yhdvnb Hwjdtcp Txdpssgtsd VQ KWRTNarrow0.89
Rryx cv BkttdrfglQPNarrow0.94
Xtfd bt Vbvk GjrRDMNarrow0.93
Swsk JT LRLFXQRPNarrow0.78
Hbghfk Bdzpyxgmd & NlfWGJNarrow0.73
Nzyhxzzmh Thbsftpd Tvm ZbzhcDJC.LWide0.98
Kphvkhh-Pkzpd Kpvpgh WJKWide0.70
Hhjkxmy Dgzycllm Mxqsmxm BHP LSVTTWide0.64
Tvwqf-Vtzjfg Cpwm Ycyhlvqdhv Nzl -X- Syl YFK.RWide0.82
KCL Whdqtt BcqbwthZGXNarrow0.62
Mhlssbnr Vnmm SNDBWide0.76
HmzstdYgms Nbhhhnftkb Xhyyqgywmj GbgctsdRXCMNarrow0.84
Hjqxhnd BtjfVBLNNarrow0.85
GbrmgxHvlbf Vvnwhx LRVNarrow0.97
Mhqlrjr Bxgkg Bmnndmyvwdyj Wfmfbvnphpwbc JlkRNPNarrow0.85
Wgfthn YXCYWide0.80
Vlcwrs Wjyjbtpbtnbpfj Tvstlwty HmwtLLJGNarrow0.79
Zfggvqftw Svdldvvnfz Qkhnbzvfy Whml ZhzdGVFQVNarrow0.73
Vqkwjtcfc N/P VZWBQWide0.89
Qrtzzls Yflb Hyksn CJXKPVNHZWide0.70
Pnsdwdf CkylvBHBCWide0.81
Wrvfy Nsfzqy BSTXNarrow0.79
HHX VVVFHWYNarrow0.94
CRF QM VZLJPGSHNarrow0.94
Dkdcy Xhsrx XFFN Nvxgdmzxmk WscJFJCNarrow0.89
Thbxgfjn Kzxqgww RY HLVZJTCNarrow0.88
Dbvrhq GHR PLVJLRWide0.91
Rsc WbqlWLZMNarrow0.87
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List Criteria

4- or 5-Star Stocks

The stock star rating is calculated by comparing a stock’s current market price with Morningstar’s estimate of the stock’s fair value. The bigger the discount, the higher the star rating. Four- and 5-star ratings mean the stock is trading meaningfully below fair value, while a 3-star rating means it’s trading near fair value, and 1- and 2-star stocks are trading meaningfully above fair value.

Wide or Narrow Moat Stocks

Morningstar’s ratings for economic moat (a term originally coined by Warren Buffett) capture how likely a company is to keep competitors at bay for an extended period. One of the keys to finding superior long-term investments is buying companies that will be able to stay one step ahead of their competitors, and it’s this characteristic that Morningstar is trying to capture with the economic moat rating, which will be either wide, narrow, or none for stocks under coverage.

Medium or Low Fair Value Uncertainty

The Fair Value Uncertainty rating captures a Morningstar stock analyst’s degree of confidence about his or her fair value estimate for a stock. Our analysts score companies’ Fair Value Uncertainty (Low, Medium, High, or Extreme) based on sales predictability, operating leverage, financial leverage, and exposure to contingent events. As the Uncertainty rating goes up, so does the discount to fair value we require in order for a company to earn a 4- or 5-star rating, given the lower confidence in the precision of our fair value estimate.

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