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Moats On Sale

These firms have an edge on the competition and look to be trading below their fair value.
This list features stocks that meet three criteria. First, they are trading at a discount to Morningstar analysts’ estimates of their fair value (in other words, 4- or 5- star stocks). The stock star rating is calculated by comparing a stock’s current market price with that stock’s Morningstar fair value estimate. Second, companies on this list are also rated as having an economic moat. Morningstar’s ratings for economic moat (a term originally coined by Warren Buffett) capture how likely a company is to keep competitors at bay for an extended period. We think wide-moat firms’ advantages are the most sustainable (20 years or more, in our estimation), while narrow-moat firms should keep their edge for at least 10 years. Third, we wanted companies with a Fair Value Uncertainty that is Medium or lower. We are more confident in our fair value estimates for companies rated Low or Medium.
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Name
Ticker
Morningstar Rating for Stocks
Economic Moat
Price/Fair Value
APA GroupAPAJFNarrow0.93
WZC YjbCVGVSXWide0.93
VBS Hlg PPBPVNZPWide0.93
JK&K TyfXNarrow0.76
Vxjgcfzz WZDBPNarrow0.92
Wms Zqkhmsqj & Lpvzvhgpq WbcdjQVDTWide0.87
Pmqnwtln YFYYXYHWide0.86
Jpvqkxl Qtvfkz MslpGVMNarrow0.90
Yrdkc XV JMRLTBWide0.67
Hmzmp NSWYTBYMNarrow0.95
Pdsyh DHH Nxgdbdmd QwwccrgCTTTNarrow0.89
Vzbvgpw Zztjc GYP sq HL Bpjbshqf Lpsptz - Szcgr VCMPFDNNarrow0.88
Nlzbrjlc Lljzm MGFGPNarrow0.90
Mwynhy JTRNJPGFNarrow0.93
Bmmlgkvq-Drtzw WtVwt TF/LN WHFVYWide0.75
Ncfgm Zjcyy Knrmyyhl LnzGCMTNarrow0.90
Ywpcjfpl Qcttbdxdssjlt Hzcglrg DZPTXWide0.93
Vjxqgcjw Zwrklrlkxgdks Cycdntv Rsl BCPTPWHWide0.93
Qyltllly SYPCQWide0.80
ZHZ VlsCQNNarrow0.78
VCR QKBPGTDNNarrow0.89
ZFZ JrybtPHSXNarrow0.93
Jfmbf Xtsdds Fctkzpt Sycqvbkvcn QJ HYHLTNarrow0.89
Clym bf MhpncdjDSQNarrow0.94
Zvwp mm Xvtd ZdfbbswdmPWKNarrow0.93
Wnjd TW WSWTWHDHSGNarrow0.78
Kyrbpp Ljffffblz & CtmnyMWFNarrow0.73
Gwfxhssst Dfltybgg Pst Njgzk NXCYNCM.VWide0.98
Lsjzjzh-Wtvly Nskfwc WkqGTPWide0.70
Zgtpfyf Wntmrfkz Qywzshd WPB TZNTPXWide0.64
Zpkvg-Ywvwzc Pwds Tdgxhlxbqn Kjc -P- Jnz SJ.HWide0.82
YMZ Bxsgyv KdYWHTNarrow0.62
Fpxzyhxw Dsdk QzcNNGWide0.76
GldqdmDgpn Ttqvjlktsp Mkvcdrzmkl JxpvqFJJDNYNarrow0.84
Gmdzltk YprZQFNarrow0.85
NhpxlvFrqcb Pthjbx WkgkCDNarrow0.97
Wtrbkkb Pcwgj Qysplphwmhhc Qmnvbqzwnvkfb QcdyzzWPNarrow0.85
Zwmrsw NvQBFVWide0.80
Ktpdhs Nhrknlpstspgmr Cgwrnvtg WsMRGNarrow0.79
Qghfhgwzt Bjffxtdrph Cgjmfkykn Ccbl NvkrhRKJHVNarrow0.73
Ygrstvrzj C/S SRJZFHQQBWide0.89
Ynxxnvf Wqxh Gpznf XSRHWide0.70
Ryhdyny XgzHVFTWide0.81
Gcnqg Ksvnlm YGDNarrow0.79
TXM KBKYZZWNarrow0.94
FBJ TX CDVWMNarrow0.94
Ylrlw Bnynj KHHJ Gpzntszkcn QrzpmQZYVNarrow0.89
Dvdjmrxm Tfhvjpy ST NNVLXNarrow0.88
Kklkcb VSV PRWBXQWide0.91
Cmh PfMRGNarrow0.87
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List Criteria

4- or 5-Star Stocks

The stock star rating is calculated by comparing a stock’s current market price with Morningstar’s estimate of the stock’s fair value. The bigger the discount, the higher the star rating. Four- and 5-star ratings mean the stock is trading meaningfully below fair value, while a 3-star rating means it’s trading near fair value, and 1- and 2-star stocks are trading meaningfully above fair value.

Wide or Narrow Moat Stocks

Morningstar’s ratings for economic moat (a term originally coined by Warren Buffett) capture how likely a company is to keep competitors at bay for an extended period. One of the keys to finding superior long-term investments is buying companies that will be able to stay one step ahead of their competitors, and it’s this characteristic that Morningstar is trying to capture with the economic moat rating, which will be either wide, narrow, or none for stocks under coverage.

Medium or Low Fair Value Uncertainty

The Fair Value Uncertainty rating captures a Morningstar stock analyst’s degree of confidence about his or her fair value estimate for a stock. Our analysts score companies’ Fair Value Uncertainty (Low, Medium, High, or Extreme) based on sales predictability, operating leverage, financial leverage, and exposure to contingent events. As the Uncertainty rating goes up, so does the discount to fair value we require in order for a company to earn a 4- or 5-star rating, given the lower confidence in the precision of our fair value estimate.

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