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Petroleo Brasileiro SA Petrobras ADR PBR

Morningstar Rating
$15.23 −0.33 (2.12%)
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Company Report

Petrobras: Another CEO Exits; Risk of Political Interference Harming Shareholders Increases Further

Following first-quarter earnings, Petrobras CEO Jean Paul Prates has resigned. Prates had reportedly clashed with Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva about the decision not to pay out special dividends earlier this year, as expected by the market. Since Lula took office in early 2023, the company has come under pressure for its prior strategy of divesting lower-quality assets, focusing investment on offshore oil assets, and paying out a high percentage of free cash flow to shareholders. As a result, it increased investment, including into renewables, and reduced its payout ratio to 45% from 60% with its recent strategic update. We found both actions to be detrimental to shareholders.

Price vs Fair Value

PBR is trading at a 181% premium.
Price
$15.23
Fair Value
$54.30
Uncertainty
Very High
1-Star Price
$94.60
5-Star Price
$3.10
Economic Moat
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Capital Allocation
Psycqttz

Bulls Say, Bears Say

Bulls

The size and quality of the presalt reservoirs offer Petrobras a low-cost supply that is unrivaled by any other global integrated firm.

Bears

Government control implies financial or strategic decisions benefit the country but could harm shareholders. It also results in an incestuous relationship, as the past corruption scandal demonstrates.

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News

Trading Information

Previous Close Price
$15.56
Day Range
$15.1015.58
52-Week Range
$11.4717.91
Bid/Ask
$15.11 / $15.22
Market Cap
$98.30 Bil
Volume/Avg
722 / 22.9 Mil

Key Statistics

Price/Earnings (Normalized)
3.81
Price/Sales
1.00
Dividend Yield (Trailing)
13.89%
Dividend Yield (Forward)
13.89%
Total Yield
14.63%

Company Profile

Petrobras is a Brazil-based integrated energy company controlled by the Brazilian government. The company focuses on exploration and production of oil and gas in Brazilian offshore fields. Production in 2023 was 2.8 million barrels of oil equivalent a day (80% oil production), and reserves stood at 10.9 billion boe (85% oil). At end-2023, Petrobras operated 10 refineries in Brazil with capacity of 1.8 million barrels a day and distributes refined products and natural gas throughout Brazil.
Sector
Energy
Industry
Oil & Gas Integrated
Stock Style Box
Large Value
Total Number of Employees
40,213

Competitors

Valuation

Metric
PBR
XOM
CVX
Price/Earnings (Normalized)
3.8113.4712.96
Price/Book Value
1.202.261.84
Price/Sales
1.001.431.55
Price/Cash Flow
2.208.537.91
Price/Earnings
PBR
XOM
CVX

Financial Strength

Metric
PBR
XOM
CVX
Quick Ratio
0.751.020.81
Current Ratio
1.081.381.23
Interest Coverage
9.3454.0760.29
Quick Ratio
PBR
XOM
CVX

Profitability

Metric
PBR
XOM
CVX
Return on Assets (Normalized)
13.98%9.46%9.02%
Return on Equity (Normalized)
36.75%17.46%14.52%
Return on Invested Capital (Normalized)
22.90%14.30%12.92%
Return on Assets
PBR
XOM
CVX
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Oil & Gas Integrated Industry Comparables

Ticker
Name
Morningstar Rating for Stocks
Capital Allocation
Economic Moat
Market Cap
XOM
Exxon Mobil CorpTtyxbnvfwFdxsj$528.8 Bil
CVX
Chevron CorpQthfdxyrrcJxrpc$296.9 Bil
PCCYF
PetroChina Co Ltd Class HFytc$241.7 Bil
RYDAF
Shell PLCSwn$230.2 Bil
SHEL
Shell PLC ADR (Representing - Ordinary Shares)DlfdkmwnJsg$228.8 Bil
TTE
TotalEnergies SE ADRVwjwpmctLsj$168.6 Bil
BP
BP PLC ADRVgdvqyzqDjn$104.0 Bil
EQNR
Equinor ASA ADRJzgkxxmhZmbvb$82.1 Bil
E
Eni SpA ADRPwyhpbtMtqm$52.2 Bil

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