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February US CPI Report Shows Inflation at a 3.2% Annual Rate, Higher Than Expected

Core CPI at an above-forecast 3.8% annual rate.

Illustration of capital building with bubbles of currency inflating

The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that the Consumer Price Index climbed 3.2% in February from year-ago levels—an uptick from January’s 3.1% rate, but well below the January 2023 peak of 6.4%. Core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy costs, rose 3.8% in February over the last 12 months after rising 3.9% in January.

The CPI rose 0.4% in February from month-ago levels after rising 0.3% in January. Core CPI also climbed 0.4%, matching the January increase.

Economists had expected the overall CPI reading in February to show 0.4% growth on a monthly basis, up from 0.3% growth in January, with the annual growth rate holding steady at 3.1%, according to FactSet’s consensus estimates.

CPI vs. Core CPI

February CPI Report Key Stats

  • CPI rose 0.4% for the month after rising 0.3% in January.
  • Core CPI increased 0.4% after rising by the same amount in January.
  • CPI climbed 3.2% year over year after growing by 3.1% the prior month.
  • Core CPI climbed 3.8% from year-ago levels after increasing 3.9% in January.

Food prices in February after increasing 0.4% in January. Food-at-home prices stayed the same over the month, while food-away-from-home (restaurant) prices increased 0.1%.

Energy prices increased over the month, up 2.3% overall after decreasing 0.9% the prior month. Utility (piped) gas service prices increased 2.3%, fuel oil prices climbed 1.1%, gasoline prices increased 3.8%, and electricity prices increased 0.3%.

In February, shelter prices climbed 0.4% after rising 0.6% in January.

Consumer Price Index

Month-over-month changes.

This article was partially generated by Wordsmith, an automated smart-text platform, using data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. The article has been reviewed by Morningstar editors.

The author or authors do not own shares in any securities mentioned in this article. Find out about Morningstar’s editorial policies.

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