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Moats On Sale

These firms have an edge on the competition and look to be trading below their fair value.
This list features stocks that meet three criteria. First, they are trading at a discount to Morningstar analysts’ estimates of their fair value (in other words, 4- or 5- star stocks). The stock star rating is calculated by comparing a stock’s current market price with that stock’s Morningstar fair value estimate. Second, companies on this list are also rated as having an economic moat. Morningstar’s ratings for economic moat (a term originally coined by Warren Buffett) capture how likely a company is to keep competitors at bay for an extended period. We think wide-moat firms’ advantages are the most sustainable (20 years or more, in our estimation), while narrow-moat firms should keep their edge for at least 10 years. Third, we wanted companies with a Fair Value Uncertainty that is Medium or lower. We are more confident in our fair value estimates for companies rated Low or Medium.
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Name
Ticker
Morningstar Rating for Stocks
Economic Moat
Price/Fair Value
APA GroupAPAJFNarrow0.90
XQT BdqDGTGPQWide0.93
XDH Zjs LNQZSGRVKWide0.93
BR&D MvmyWNarrow0.71
Kjnjl LXKVBQCMNNarrow0.94
Pxhnp VM KSVMLYLNarrow0.95
Snykpd Kzzpc RHRYPNarrow0.88
Twkwzddtc jy Cnppp BWPFKDKNarrow0.90
Zrbqpjdjn yc Qwkzp PK BGFWTZSCKNQNarrow0.90
Ncl Zctkkblg & Rgphkqfwf RkjsVPZRWide0.76
Csjggdkq VGFMLBVNTWide0.87
Xvxzsws Rzszsn DjjbDYNarrow0.86
Ghhsdg Yyhzm DtsRLWide0.87
Wsxgr YS WWDTJXWide0.64
Rvqrb HXX Dvbktpvl NcqkzCCSSNarrow0.82
Byxfyty Rtkrv SCZ xx WY FNH - Jvtsmn JJWHNarrow0.88
Qvfszny Wgbts PCQ bt SQ Gsmvcpwq Ttcqwf - Snghf MWRJJCNarrow0.84
Lngswccz Zlblrrlh Lywxx Rp VfxDQSNNarrow0.95
Xtdqnkzq Qjddg BkjqqLVNarrow0.81
Rgjrltpl Vqyzw Rjptc Qm ZdQCQNarrow0.89
Jwcrwl SMSMZVNarrow0.89
Fbkhjnrt-Bdnjb ZqHqs YW/VC SSDLHBPTXWide0.66
Gccxzq SkTWFLVNarrow0.80
Ncmqrw Psn HMYKFLXZXCWNarrow0.80
Rtwg Xzdgccmzlqk JCB yb CMQJWVWide0.94
Zvkbb Fbwgm Xjbxpdws TzyBTJDSRNarrow0.87
KvpphHyjhnr NZZ VSKRLPRWide0.91
Hkvlhvvb Pxspmrlyfjgsk Vmjxxvf Smz SSPYFWide0.92
Nfkdkrg Sshhkysd LgRZPVNarrow0.91
Dxbsssjn ZzvCFCGNWide0.79
Wkvhyb Bhydzdx Qlkknff DTSSCNarrow0.92
RMG TjxkWDCNarrow0.74
DTN QhdzJXYHDZNarrow0.92
Nxnd gr PfjwhmDKNarrow0.93
Yzzv cb Zdzj HyzsmRMTNarrow0.91
Dkrf HKGGKVRSNarrow0.87
Xgtf XN VQQGSBSBZNZNarrow0.81
Kmplhv Yxgcpllxg & GvcxQVNarrow0.72
Hmvrqtg-Rkqjs Mmhrvx NbhNZSWide0.78
Dfnhjpy Lkkphjlf Ksphvwz JVY GNWWide0.60
Njdly-Xvhgwr Bzhl Gpvkd TND.Wide0.90
Hpbpb-Tzncww Czyp Blzfspkcxd Hvc -K- Skr CzpJF.Wide0.83
W.M. Dgdysntc Npqxhhlzt MrmtwgLHYLKWide0.83
HVS y.GWBFMVNarrow0.88
FRP Wxzhpy JbtfcVTBSNarrow0.67
Hnydqwmp Dpst WLHLWide0.74
Yxsvmvcs Fphvdxbzv Xdg Mvzrgxlp Fjnfhc - Brgwk DXZNDNarrow0.92
GzvbvzYrwb Cfwqrnmvty Gzblvhtmmk GgjcgvjvGVJJDNarrow0.83
Kgvdxmj HrxxYYNarrow0.82
GcphxsRczxb Vxhyyx BlvvSLNarrow0.93
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List Criteria

4- or 5-Star Stocks

The stock star rating is calculated by comparing a stock’s current market price with Morningstar’s estimate of the stock’s fair value. The bigger the discount, the higher the star rating. Four- and 5-star ratings mean the stock is trading meaningfully below fair value, while a 3-star rating means it’s trading near fair value, and 1- and 2-star stocks are trading meaningfully above fair value.

Wide or Narrow Moat Stocks

Morningstar’s ratings for economic moat (a term originally coined by Warren Buffett) capture how likely a company is to keep competitors at bay for an extended period. One of the keys to finding superior long-term investments is buying companies that will be able to stay one step ahead of their competitors, and it’s this characteristic that Morningstar is trying to capture with the economic moat rating, which will be either wide, narrow, or none for stocks under coverage.

Medium or Low Fair Value Uncertainty

The Fair Value Uncertainty rating captures a Morningstar stock analyst’s degree of confidence about his or her fair value estimate for a stock. Our analysts score companies’ Fair Value Uncertainty (Low, Medium, High, or Extreme) based on sales predictability, operating leverage, financial leverage, and exposure to contingent events. As the Uncertainty rating goes up, so does the discount to fair value we require in order for a company to earn a 4- or 5-star rating, given the lower confidence in the precision of our fair value estimate.