Despite Home Depot's Defensive Position, It Still Faces Near-Term Pressure From Macro Uncertainty

Home Depot is the world's largest home improvement retailer, delivering $153 billion in revenue in 2023. The firm's wide economic moat rating is based on its economies of scale and brand equity. While Home Depot has realized strong historical returns as a result of its scale, operational excellence and concise merchandising, all of which remain key tenets underlying our modest margin expansion forecast. Its flexible distribution network should help elevate the firm's brand intangible asset, with faster time to delivery improving the do-it-yourself (DIY) experience and market delivery centers catering to the pro business. The success of ongoing initiatives should allow for modest operating margin expansion above prepandemic levels in the longer term, despite intermittent inflationary pressures and macroeconomic turbulence.