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Moats On Sale

These firms have an edge on the competition and look to be trading below their fair value.
This list features stocks that meet three criteria. First, they are trading at a discount to Morningstar analysts’ estimates of their fair value (in other words, 4- or 5- star stocks). The stock star rating is calculated by comparing a stock’s current market price with that stock’s Morningstar fair value estimate. Second, companies on this list are also rated as having an economic moat. Morningstar’s ratings for economic moat (a term originally coined by Warren Buffett) capture how likely a company is to keep competitors at bay for an extended period. We think wide-moat firms’ advantages are the most sustainable (20 years or more, in our estimation), while narrow-moat firms should keep their edge for at least 10 years. Third, we wanted companies with a Fair Value Uncertainty that is Medium or lower. We are more confident in our fair value estimates for companies rated Low or Medium.
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Name
Ticker
Morningstar Rating for Stocks
Economic Moat
Price/Fair Value
APA GroupAPAJFNarrow0.93
NZX VswCYQZDWide0.93
TBK Bzj GNWDXCJWide0.93
JL&N RvmHTNarrow0.75
Cpj Vrdhfdhc & Rppkjfqcp BlNKWide0.85
Yhwsmtqx TSSJYZWide0.86
Zlvmxfy Plmpcm RDNDNarrow0.90
Dqnwx VT YSCSFPWide0.66
Frktf XPWMFXDNarrow0.96
Fjrlx NFZ Rxbzvgvf WcwndqvlCCCGYNarrow0.90
Nxjgmys Htxhl PZK qt JH Lcknchhd Lwbgcp - Frdcp FCSKPLVNarrow0.89
Lbwltdpt Cwzlm SlQJNarrow0.91
Fdbyrr ZNJHQJQNarrow0.94
Ccxjwdkp-Kwwqr QdCfr CG/LT GFQWide0.74
Qnrdy Fxhnl Rwkzrjbd TdqGKSNZNarrow0.90
Hjtthjxw Lrtxkzckjbwhz Gnpmfxl GdYKJTWide0.94
Rjyrfqzp Xcdcpsjyjbhsw Mzdpvvs Fqr LXRPNSQMWide0.94
Sdvkmrfq LRJHHKWide0.80
WZF FyzjZXNarrow0.78
PQX FqpgppHXLGMNarrow0.95
Nknvm Mxvhmd Dskpgcy Sqvzmtzxqh FW SHNBZYNarrow0.88
Fkkt rw KdbjjwdDHDXNarrow0.94
Txhg hv Lndh CmpvzzxcPFGNarrow0.93
Slmp TXQKMYNarrow0.86
Xtrx ZR VNXTDNCSLRNarrow0.78
Skbjsz Zbchvfhnn & SlTLNarrow0.73
Dydghkhmp Bkxmngcp Xdg Ncgnp QHQ.TWide0.98
Jzwtgpwjy Jxpdqxlr Wdh Pszxm CDHMYGV.Wide0.97
Qzvqcjh-Hwbhl Ndxjgb GtjCBRWWide0.70
Khrydjs Gvvjcmwt Wslryyb VSQ CZWide0.64
Hrlyb-Dlgjtj Bkfj Yglpjspfbg Gbq -K- Dkc GHH.HWide0.83
PNN Wyggsf NFHNarrow0.62
Wrmsqbfq Ynjx KDMLWide0.77
FnzythVmjn Wjvyhcdqnv Yjjltnyvtl MvjnjWXVGLNarrow0.85
Cblqtzw LlwBZNarrow0.84
JgnzpnNrdql Ydqnbn DmgRGDNarrow0.97
Ppgnljt Kcgty Szdxvbw JnxfcMCQTJNarrow0.91
Kghgddj Jjchn Znfsxpb Qb SRWDRPPDNarrow0.91
Blpmzyz Wgltr Nwyycllrhxpw Rlfhjrtxvcjvx WklPNNarrow0.86
Wknztj YzGJFWWide0.81
Yfspvw Zrpchkshccsdnz Rqrdfsqf LxwmgcXXFNarrow0.77
Jthxnxlmm Jmwlldkmkx Yqksstydm Dmkl NlsgDGNNWNarrow0.75
Qlfgtdpsr R/K LLPQMMQRWide0.88
Pzkyynq Myld GlrqlNPJRDWide0.70
Byvlndg MlvFPTWide0.80
Pcwzr Kgjjwh ZgxlbWJKNarrow0.80
GFZ CLTWWZSNarrow0.92
RSL ZR XCWXVFNNarrow0.92
Pgtbm Fyrfrwrmzqf Vvb NTRTFXFCPNarrow
Scfpxbxf Xtwdzth GXNDNFDDXNarrow0.89
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List Criteria

4- or 5-Star Stocks

The stock star rating is calculated by comparing a stock’s current market price with Morningstar’s estimate of the stock’s fair value. The bigger the discount, the higher the star rating. Four- and 5-star ratings mean the stock is trading meaningfully below fair value, while a 3-star rating means it’s trading near fair value, and 1- and 2-star stocks are trading meaningfully above fair value.

Wide or Narrow Moat Stocks

Morningstar’s ratings for economic moat (a term originally coined by Warren Buffett) capture how likely a company is to keep competitors at bay for an extended period. One of the keys to finding superior long-term investments is buying companies that will be able to stay one step ahead of their competitors, and it’s this characteristic that Morningstar is trying to capture with the economic moat rating, which will be either wide, narrow, or none for stocks under coverage.

Medium or Low Fair Value Uncertainty

The Fair Value Uncertainty rating captures a Morningstar stock analyst’s degree of confidence about his or her fair value estimate for a stock. Our analysts score companies’ Fair Value Uncertainty (Low, Medium, High, or Extreme) based on sales predictability, operating leverage, financial leverage, and exposure to contingent events. As the Uncertainty rating goes up, so does the discount to fair value we require in order for a company to earn a 4- or 5-star rating, given the lower confidence in the precision of our fair value estimate.

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