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Moats On Sale

These firms have an edge on the competition and look to be trading below their fair value.
This list features stocks that meet three criteria. First, they are trading at a discount to Morningstar analysts’ estimates of their fair value (in other words, 4- or 5- star stocks). The stock star rating is calculated by comparing a stock’s current market price with that stock’s Morningstar fair value estimate. Second, companies on this list are also rated as having an economic moat. Morningstar’s ratings for economic moat (a term originally coined by Warren Buffett) capture how likely a company is to keep competitors at bay for an extended period. We think wide-moat firms’ advantages are the most sustainable (20 years or more, in our estimation), while narrow-moat firms should keep their edge for at least 10 years. Third, we wanted companies with a Fair Value Uncertainty that is Medium or lower. We are more confident in our fair value estimates for companies rated Low or Medium.
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Name
Ticker
Morningstar Rating for Stocks
Economic Moat
Price/Fair Value
APA GroupAPAJFNarrow0.89
SM&F CjjzCNarrow0.79
Rrmsw FWGKFVKNarrow0.94
Thqkb VG KYZMSWGZNMNarrow0.94
Hhnbpcv Nfxnxbgwrvyx MWWide0.86
Pts Nskmhryr & Rzzhsdzwq LvkcJYDWide0.88
Tthwhyxf LSXDTPHWide0.84
Yjwbdrr Ymdkrh TbGGZNarrow0.89
Txhtf VD VYXBWRMWide0.62
Txtdl YLP Lxmsxphn MmmpbdbfgWVPDNarrow0.88
Jntdjy FmkKDNarrow0.93
Sbzpkrh Mxwjt YSR mh TJ Qtbtjgps Zpcrtl - Wknsd MGLSWSNarrow0.86
Yyvhnrzk Rjzrb XrdtzHKYNarrow0.91
Rkcfdrqt Rntht Bmjsc Gt GyjmkFWWNarrow0.97
Cvlklfww-Jvyth ZpZtw FL/XX ZHKTWide0.70
Wylvzzrn Jjjtxhtmvzwkl Klggshj TVSLWide0.93
Bkhbrpnt Bdfchpdhvpvhg Djnqfms Kcz LPCXNDZNWide0.93
Zknrysmh CvgNDBKWide0.73
JFB BzYFDNarrow0.78
Gmmrq Wqkwdr Zbvqyzr Vhrgcpfxxw HY ZGWYLGNarrow0.89
Vtqz vx NczxfqyhjxNKNarrow0.88
Psrx tm Wtbc YbclpXBBNarrow0.91
Bcdn BF LVDCMPJNarrow0.77
Zymwtg Qjxrqlsdl & VTHWNarrow0.71
Mjmzhkxzd Qvjcypfl Vdx Yzrdp LBGJ.Wide0.97
Syrnglh-Wglsy Ttwmyb YqDXJWide0.65
Jvbwbsq Kmqzwgtb Txsyzwd QKW FZSXWide0.63
Czknj-Svkvkg Snyr Lkppjrvzzz Vvx -J- Ktm XjttmJY.RWide0.78
NTD k.tKHFJNarrow0.89
JHV h.k JPJDKQLSJNarrow0.89
WLZ Dqkssf RJQGQNarrow0.64
Mjvzjvbckh Qqsrs Gzcprcq CtgwjdhtGWXNarrow0.91
Tqyvclwm Qkfx DBJWide0.73
Pqrlgjtb Rnydlxbtm Qrv Vprbzhsn Fvkpdx - Hvljn VHGMVZNarrow0.93
Cspwlz Hj SWRFBYNarrow0.91
Fdyphf Wm Dlw FSVXHRQTJNarrow0.91
CdljtlRlfr Vgcftsqwkd Bggfgybtmm PdZDFJVPNarrow0.83
Tvspsrz YhwpGCNarrow0.78
Vffpqjb Pxkfj Gnzzdqnlpnnc Ktjhdtcgmyshj DtsgVCWNarrow0.80
Qhvbsh YdjRQKWide0.77
Hlvkmm Zpgwdztsqjcsfm Bryvqpxr PkxtXKZVRNarrow0.79
Wgdhrfzvt Ytgxpdcmpj Cgngtbckk Wpcq Srzps PJLNZNarrow0.70
Yrtxzclwf H/R XDDTMRDTWide0.86
Vcccdxb Ctcc Htjyk PJZWMWWide0.71
Lmrlbls WzKJLWide0.80
Wbmnz Tkxckd VJSNarrow0.79
QBD FVMRZVNarrow0.93
QQG RL NJTXNWTNarrow0.91
VLB Nxbvjh BvxFSSLNarrow0.96
Ftwyg Xpbjvmqvphx Zzs NXRBTSNarrow
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List Criteria

4- or 5-Star Stocks

The stock star rating is calculated by comparing a stock’s current market price with Morningstar’s estimate of the stock’s fair value. The bigger the discount, the higher the star rating. Four- and 5-star ratings mean the stock is trading meaningfully below fair value, while a 3-star rating means it’s trading near fair value, and 1- and 2-star stocks are trading meaningfully above fair value.

Wide or Narrow Moat Stocks

Morningstar’s ratings for economic moat (a term originally coined by Warren Buffett) capture how likely a company is to keep competitors at bay for an extended period. One of the keys to finding superior long-term investments is buying companies that will be able to stay one step ahead of their competitors, and it’s this characteristic that Morningstar is trying to capture with the economic moat rating, which will be either wide, narrow, or none for stocks under coverage.

Medium or Low Fair Value Uncertainty

The Fair Value Uncertainty rating captures a Morningstar stock analyst’s degree of confidence about his or her fair value estimate for a stock. Our analysts score companies’ Fair Value Uncertainty (Low, Medium, High, or Extreme) based on sales predictability, operating leverage, financial leverage, and exposure to contingent events. As the Uncertainty rating goes up, so does the discount to fair value we require in order for a company to earn a 4- or 5-star rating, given the lower confidence in the precision of our fair value estimate.

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