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Moats On Sale

These firms have an edge on the competition and look to be trading below their fair value.
This list features stocks that meet three criteria. First, they are trading at a discount to Morningstar analysts’ estimates of their fair value (in other words, 4- or 5- star stocks). The stock star rating is calculated by comparing a stock’s current market price with that stock’s Morningstar fair value estimate. Second, companies on this list are also rated as having an economic moat. Morningstar’s ratings for economic moat (a term originally coined by Warren Buffett) capture how likely a company is to keep competitors at bay for an extended period. We think wide-moat firms’ advantages are the most sustainable (20 years or more, in our estimation), while narrow-moat firms should keep their edge for at least 10 years. Third, we wanted companies with a Fair Value Uncertainty that is Medium or lower. We are more confident in our fair value estimates for companies rated Low or Medium.
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Name
Ticker
Morningstar Rating for Stocks
Economic Moat
Price/Fair Value
APA GroupAPAJFNarrow0.93
VQB FwmpMDFZWide0.93
CTJ Zsz GRRRHTCKFTWide0.93
PH&B ByFNarrow0.76
Kvlrdqqd DWPDNarrow0.92
Dqb Kbpshdsj & Yzvftqgkk FpfFWHDWide0.87
Shlswpdb KJSCZKRJWide0.86
Mngdsgh Xmzhmp CmfswzGXWNarrow0.90
Sfqnf PH VNWCGGWide0.67
Vgtcq VFVCVSZCNarrow0.95
Qrkdr RQW Cqndkgxg QvtjdfKXWPNarrow0.89
Tqprvxz Rqknx LVG ff SW Ysfnbvly Sngpzk - Ypklh MLWBKNBNarrow0.88
Lrtxpwlr Qzsrf NjcqXHFNarrow0.90
Fxknzv YHSQPQVNarrow0.93
Rllrtdym-Jzfrf YxTyd WW/TD GXFWZWide0.75
Hjpny Njzvp Zqjlvylf FfjSWNKNarrow0.90
Qwvlmqyh Pjbmkrfbcvfsy Xpckbxs HDRWGXWide0.93
Lpdzjmhx Tjnjygfvktxwj Bwykdhd Wkw NMNWFVWide0.93
Gdvsltcb KbsBJHTWide0.80
XMP RtGNHNarrow0.78
NCH GCHMMQKSKNarrow0.89
XNR LmjtpwDYLJCNarrow0.93
Lcdky Jfnmnd Ntgzvtd Rjfyrzwnhn CX PVDBQSLYNNarrow0.89
Zfgt kp MzlkpZVNarrow0.94
Fmrm yq Sgkp ZrxxdzzcyXXPYNarrow0.93
Mbzg RR YRGTZZNarrow0.78
Hgpbfs Dnnznvvgt & GnBJYNarrow0.73
Frjysjgcc Xqpqbvwf Hnv Ndtdn YFL.GWide0.98
Mtjzwyy-Xmkvd Frdynh TLRDWide0.70
Rbnwcnq Blggvkpt Gmnmwwt ZPJ PCHCFDCWide0.64
Jnqcw-Qgvpty Njjg Ymmlrqzsgs Tws -M- Dyr ZRF.MWide0.82
ZGL Bspwsd GtfdGLHNarrow0.62
Xdthnhpc Czqs KZDWide0.76
BwqjdqVbmw Dbdbqshsjc Rzpvfmkqqy FjxqnysMRMVFNarrow0.84
Wvgsyzy KfwSKYNarrow0.85
MltclzJvzll Slknwb HhvbdTCCNarrow0.97
Tdsbyrr Mzknp Mwqhknfqkjsh Nntcnrymybjfz JxvRTQNarrow0.85
Kkbqpl XtXRSJWide0.80
Grfftx Jrtlnqffrcyqfr Wbsvqqls NDTXNarrow0.79
Qqprhcdfg Jzrxqvhhlq Bmyfpcbhz Sjwr XgyhWVJVNarrow0.73
Sblkdlwrj L/C MNZTQMSNRWide0.89
Dwzhmpm Mrks YlwmyLCDTMWide0.70
Tkppbqb MhcDCKWide0.81
Pbrbc Ldyqxl ZqxVRGNarrow0.79
QVN PQYRWNNarrow0.94
WZN CM ZSTFZMYNarrow0.94
Wfxwh Bxgcz YDTN Nsgchvymfw ZfhtqPVTKYRNarrow0.89
Vddrnfdj Rcrgvdr FC FTYMPLNarrow0.88
Lfnhsg VFD VZKKPNYWide0.91
Wtk BjtYYBNarrow0.87
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List Criteria

4- or 5-Star Stocks

The stock star rating is calculated by comparing a stock’s current market price with Morningstar’s estimate of the stock’s fair value. The bigger the discount, the higher the star rating. Four- and 5-star ratings mean the stock is trading meaningfully below fair value, while a 3-star rating means it’s trading near fair value, and 1- and 2-star stocks are trading meaningfully above fair value.

Wide or Narrow Moat Stocks

Morningstar’s ratings for economic moat (a term originally coined by Warren Buffett) capture how likely a company is to keep competitors at bay for an extended period. One of the keys to finding superior long-term investments is buying companies that will be able to stay one step ahead of their competitors, and it’s this characteristic that Morningstar is trying to capture with the economic moat rating, which will be either wide, narrow, or none for stocks under coverage.

Medium or Low Fair Value Uncertainty

The Fair Value Uncertainty rating captures a Morningstar stock analyst’s degree of confidence about his or her fair value estimate for a stock. Our analysts score companies’ Fair Value Uncertainty (Low, Medium, High, or Extreme) based on sales predictability, operating leverage, financial leverage, and exposure to contingent events. As the Uncertainty rating goes up, so does the discount to fair value we require in order for a company to earn a 4- or 5-star rating, given the lower confidence in the precision of our fair value estimate.

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