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Moats On Sale

These firms have an edge on the competition and look to be trading below their fair value.
This list features stocks that meet three criteria. First, they are trading at a discount to Morningstar analysts’ estimates of their fair value (in other words, 4- or 5- star stocks). The stock star rating is calculated by comparing a stock’s current market price with that stock’s Morningstar fair value estimate. Second, companies on this list are also rated as having an economic moat. Morningstar’s ratings for economic moat (a term originally coined by Warren Buffett) capture how likely a company is to keep competitors at bay for an extended period. We think wide-moat firms’ advantages are the most sustainable (20 years or more, in our estimation), while narrow-moat firms should keep their edge for at least 10 years. Third, we wanted companies with a Fair Value Uncertainty that is Medium or lower. We are more confident in our fair value estimates for companies rated Low or Medium.
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Name
Ticker
Morningstar Rating for Stocks
Economic Moat
Price/Fair Value
APA GroupAPAJFNarrow0.91
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PFJ Hkd ZQWBVYBFJWide0.94
JP&F SfxBNarrow0.74
Fgsgrbjn RRTSTYPPZSNarrow0.90
Kcy Hxpgwhxd & Ydmmybdxl SRYWide0.81
Ztmnzxmb RQKBMSWide0.86
Tykhdkm Svpqhn CwWQDNarrow0.88
Gsknvd Pyjpn TbnrqlLCWide0.90
Sddwc LD JKVMZZBTWide0.66
Qvflh KQDWFRBPNarrow0.95
Xnssv KQS Jddmqgyg GhvnmgjTMQBCNarrow0.88
Zklryzg Mclfr XPV dy DR Sgsffnbn Ykxmpc - Svyck TMFRCFXFNarrow0.87
Vqvyjtln Bvnfq TdpPWNarrow0.84
Hlvqls MVJRPNWSFNarrow0.93
Hdhfrvfd-Dshvr BfDwn SS/XK FSCGGKCRVWide0.70
Lqdk Nyrkfysstrn JNP bw PKNPZWide0.97
Hnwhqwlt Lgfmtywwpfzrw Qzymkzw MYDGTKKWide0.95
Dbgtwsff Vzgvfjlkcvysh Blmchvc Vzw ZZCDNYMMWide0.95
Gjvkxxj Svvnxjnr SvpmKTBPTNarrow0.92
Sdlpbydg KpDHTWide0.78
Fzvgkp Crhlgqf Gwbkcmf SxcXMQMNarrow0.93
LRS GngXYDNarrow0.76
TPH YlqxDDGRMNarrow0.96
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Dgvw sm LrkbwhzzQTQNarrow0.92
Yjcz hd Fqzc WvxnHJJNarrow0.92
Gnbd BV KGSNLMNarrow0.78
Nwwhwc Lbnhqlrgr &NYNarrow0.72
Hqywjtyyy Xdnhpfml Gtx Mrpnc DRXWTQP.TWide0.96
Jgtkxqkwj Mrvtjdzl Mdm Txxsh CKNPYWB.GVWide0.95
Zznfnbh-Mbjnb Pfwphr VhdcjTTWide0.69
Zhnzfhw Wkjycqch Mrqnpxw RTC MYFGNSWide0.62
Lnvbk-Nzdvmx Zhxn Fsfzbkjbfg Twk -G- Ykg BwtzbfZT.SRWide0.81
WRN d.wlZYBFJNarrow0.91
VSX k.k GNQNPBZNarrow0.91
NLQ Pmtkhj QmthwSGRNarrow0.59
Rvfxvlwf Dvbd VhglHMXWide0.74
ZvcpnxQhkg Zdzwskqqxb Pjcxpspfrs WmnXTQQZNarrow0.83
Kwqdhcr YwRXJNarrow0.82
ScsrnlFmjww Tpvbch VfcbtfLCLNarrow0.95
Hvdkw Gfryrmphd Mtp Jmxtf MklkVBPDTMNarrow0.91
Rzlpl Ttltxwslf Ptg Vwgpw Wqk NLFMKSYNarrow0.91
Zbtzxq BwJKGWide0.83
Fttsxl Fyxdywtljszjnm Kdrbdzdp WwjbjVKNMYNarrow0.85
Jzzggdkfq Wjflcmhqdq Nxxprmffc Rsgr Yrmcp TFTLPNNarrow0.72
Fmtgwlvrq S/R WWXYVVFCRYPWide0.87
Ymkybbr Xmlz Kmsgv XNXHZWKVWide0.70
Rdlzzkv YjmZVFGWide0.81
Tqwqd Kqvtrj RgycZGNarrow0.75
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List Criteria

4- or 5-Star Stocks

The stock star rating is calculated by comparing a stock’s current market price with Morningstar’s estimate of the stock’s fair value. The bigger the discount, the higher the star rating. Four- and 5-star ratings mean the stock is trading meaningfully below fair value, while a 3-star rating means it’s trading near fair value, and 1- and 2-star stocks are trading meaningfully above fair value.

Wide or Narrow Moat Stocks

Morningstar’s ratings for economic moat (a term originally coined by Warren Buffett) capture how likely a company is to keep competitors at bay for an extended period. One of the keys to finding superior long-term investments is buying companies that will be able to stay one step ahead of their competitors, and it’s this characteristic that Morningstar is trying to capture with the economic moat rating, which will be either wide, narrow, or none for stocks under coverage.

Medium or Low Fair Value Uncertainty

The Fair Value Uncertainty rating captures a Morningstar stock analyst’s degree of confidence about his or her fair value estimate for a stock. Our analysts score companies’ Fair Value Uncertainty (Low, Medium, High, or Extreme) based on sales predictability, operating leverage, financial leverage, and exposure to contingent events. As the Uncertainty rating goes up, so does the discount to fair value we require in order for a company to earn a 4- or 5-star rating, given the lower confidence in the precision of our fair value estimate.