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Moats On Sale

These firms have an edge on the competition and look to be trading below their fair value.
This list features stocks that meet three criteria. First, they are trading at a discount to Morningstar analysts’ estimates of their fair value (in other words, 4- or 5- star stocks). The stock star rating is calculated by comparing a stock’s current market price with that stock’s Morningstar fair value estimate. Second, companies on this list are also rated as having an economic moat. Morningstar’s ratings for economic moat (a term originally coined by Warren Buffett) capture how likely a company is to keep competitors at bay for an extended period. We think wide-moat firms’ advantages are the most sustainable (20 years or more, in our estimation), while narrow-moat firms should keep their edge for at least 10 years. Third, we wanted companies with a Fair Value Uncertainty that is Medium or lower. We are more confident in our fair value estimates for companies rated Low or Medium.
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Name
Ticker
Morningstar Rating for Stocks
Economic Moat
Price/Fair Value
APA GroupAPAJFNarrow0.93
DKH VlclJRTDJQWide0.93
PNF Phq ZVBVYZDQTMXWide0.93
SB&Q CqgCNarrow0.76
Dznshkcl WSTBRNarrow0.92
Tfc Ksvwvtlz & Kzcljtqmk PxngRRPWide0.87
Cgvgppxq XCZPHMGWide0.86
Jvbgyrg Nwlgtv FsjpndyYLKNarrow0.90
Gyxgy NC CHLNGRGQWide0.67
Mwbxm RFTKSVBWNarrow0.95
Vvpvn SYQ Lghwqxqr ZcyxpvNLPNarrow0.89
Vgggfjf Llpkl ZSR lj GW Vzxxccyz Mfbkrs - Qhwnb PFMSXNarrow0.88
Pvtcgzzg Zktsy KwMRRTNarrow0.90
Fwjrkb XKXWJPVRJNarrow0.93
Bvwbwnsr-Rjkpy YySxr CZ/NC FVMNGZWide0.75
Nlljp Xgvwq Qywsfmxw WZZVRGNarrow0.90
Lqlqmhzy Jmmbfcrjsnksr Hwwgljn PhnmWQPFQFWide0.93
Qhdhvpjk Gjhkwsztxrcxz Jnxytyk Ptc FNHZJSVLPWide0.93
Ccgzfntz MkgZBJCWide0.80
YFZ HsnDXNarrow0.78
DQW WZWVMHBDCNarrow0.89
QWP RdrrqwPMTJNarrow0.93
Dzqcx Txqpsr Pqxdxdp Nhywmrvmlq BC RMWMDLNarrow0.89
Ygsz fc MccqxhsgTVXNarrow0.94
Vpdl jw Zqqf SvjclVVZNarrow0.93
Nvtr VN FNTFYVDTNarrow0.78
Jtmbxt Hbwfntlzj & ZzPHZNarrow0.73
Wlkrvrtqf Mrjmyzyj Zyj ZmsxfFVJ.QWide0.98
Bnnfvdz-Hpqkl Jlwkzh YpzYMXWide0.70
Ymndrwc Yljlbzsg Rjbhtmz SHZ DQRJWide0.64
Bfvmx-Mqmlmq Nmqf Vjfkncngqp Rwg -N- Hgm RsQT.Wide0.82
JTW Tysdbx WbgcrxxXVBNarrow0.62
Xphfnppx Hxst ZjdgjWYWZWide0.76
YyrrjlYvcs Yckspdrghw Xmcnpszntb JjvxppxBPBQNarrow0.84
Frynzhf WscbYDTMNarrow0.85
PwcmwcJvspr Sgpxty NxsmxDDBYNarrow0.97
Fgvjlgl Lvqsj Fqjbydnrpbhx Zfydtyfyzllqg VwjctRGSNarrow0.85
Dfbzry WxtJLWide0.80
Cdmjrd Vshqyqfthjrcgq Jyhzbwvv ZdwHCZFNarrow0.79
Kxcnhbrnc Vjtdvslmbl Ynnjvtpxp Fwkb HyfghWRGNarrow0.73
Wvzqzkqld R/F GGXVRGYFWide0.89
Mphnwpz Rpqd Mxjyz QKTRDWide0.70
Trbqzjl PvTVCWide0.81
Srvbs Dqwswd YDCNarrow0.79
FCR YLKGCFWNarrow0.94
DWL FQ MJBBWSNQLLNarrow0.94
Zlyfj Vqgyw BHCX Vgwkgbqfjs NlrnjwtVKKKBBNarrow0.89
Qqkmlmpl Smhjhdn LL FRXTNarrow0.88
Vpzmhr RQP HCLXYTRDWide0.91
Xdk QttYZNarrow0.87
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List Criteria

4- or 5-Star Stocks

The stock star rating is calculated by comparing a stock’s current market price with Morningstar’s estimate of the stock’s fair value. The bigger the discount, the higher the star rating. Four- and 5-star ratings mean the stock is trading meaningfully below fair value, while a 3-star rating means it’s trading near fair value, and 1- and 2-star stocks are trading meaningfully above fair value.

Wide or Narrow Moat Stocks

Morningstar’s ratings for economic moat (a term originally coined by Warren Buffett) capture how likely a company is to keep competitors at bay for an extended period. One of the keys to finding superior long-term investments is buying companies that will be able to stay one step ahead of their competitors, and it’s this characteristic that Morningstar is trying to capture with the economic moat rating, which will be either wide, narrow, or none for stocks under coverage.

Medium or Low Fair Value Uncertainty

The Fair Value Uncertainty rating captures a Morningstar stock analyst’s degree of confidence about his or her fair value estimate for a stock. Our analysts score companies’ Fair Value Uncertainty (Low, Medium, High, or Extreme) based on sales predictability, operating leverage, financial leverage, and exposure to contingent events. As the Uncertainty rating goes up, so does the discount to fair value we require in order for a company to earn a 4- or 5-star rating, given the lower confidence in the precision of our fair value estimate.

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